Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 823.602595 932.532019 1054.815390 1203.103308 1379.187432 1583.002501 1838.812478
2025-03-02 658.855598 801.531554 977.532134 1214.119624 1529.332516 1942.999184 2541.078016
2025-03-09 566.171862 718.667609 917.771746 1203.203653 1613.020672 2198.672048 3135.492350
2025-03-16 494.898726 648.709674 858.453975 1174.712652 1657.024226 2396.965957 3689.014037
2025-03-23 452.936441 610.798558 834.583314 1187.897435 1757.908373 2694.017743 4477.611831
2025-03-30 406.778672 560.570168 785.196717 1152.857542 1773.319333 2850.808301 5061.447807
2025-04-06 369.669305 519.110179 743.162843 1121.806643 1787.304491 3004.115117 5682.536896
2025-04-13 337.048113 480.956858 701.607663 1085.010978 1783.467087 3121.131909 6263.567415
2025-04-20 322.568601 469.042678 699.652537 1113.904495 1902.158746 3501.177804 7583.682690
2025-04-27 305.163270 450.777984 685.203164 1118.418827 1974.483481 3801.837781 8836.719211
2025-05-04 294.819884 442.821064 686.813479 1151.706893 2109.169671 4272.915137 10784.377060
2025-05-11 282.032066 429.672985 678.074312 1164.082771 2202.171413 4671.655674 12739.673290
2025-05-18 272.138367 421.718664 679.634118 1200.855534 2365.638088 5323.089940 16092.336056
2025-05-25 259.601401 408.434059 670.763753 1216.705408 2488.725657 5923.998973 19849.899953
2025-06-01 244.867785 389.955689 650.249397 1205.055623 2543.079950 6349.997956 23310.943633
2025-06-08 229.555150 369.250546 623.574446 1176.608429 2549.915805 6637.270847 26455.452501
2025-06-15 220.571000 359.245490 616.380251 1189.805713 2667.918551 7333.364184 32707.234933
2025-06-22 207.051841 339.951127 589.324866 1154.696075 2648.545142 7554.524313 36478.621775
2025-06-29 195.128714 322.844164 565.234238 1123.581670 2634.812173 7796.389839 40840.837137
2025-07-06 183.599585 305.770166 539.911603 1086.711788 2598.033728 7941.930527 44822.691409
2025-07-13 179.398370 302.287245 541.951797 1115.663552 2763.123287 8975.976354 58589.759421
2025-07-20 173.186977 294.518721 534.433658 1120.187026 2855.009642 9755.624851 72355.874091
2025-07-27 169.897630 292.196020 538.156949 1153.542810 3048.323104 11120.912288 98293.138782